In case there is no information for a long period of time, will close in the Summer of 2025. Answers with no new information will be N/A’ed in order to not tie up mana indefinitely.
Update 2024-16-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution will be based on official sources
Multiple different explanations/sources can be considered true simultaneously
Resolution will wait for information to be properly verified and sorted through
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as per the description:
Answers with no new information will be N/A’ed in order to not tie up mana indefinitely.
I don't see calls to decisively resolve any of these based on evidence provided, even if the market seems convinced. Lots of conjecture, but nothing that says "okay this one is YES/NO". Admittedly I only skimmed and frankly the market has been sitting closed way too long. On the other hand everyone is complaining this is still unresolved.
So I N/A'd everything but the metas "2 [/4] others will resolve YES", because they didn't so those are NO.
Resolving questions like "Someone will attempt to shoot down a drone and end up injuring themselves or others" "Major Mexican TV network runs story implying drones are alien tech" or "At least 1 drone is shot down and recovered" to N/A instead of No on lack of evidence doesn't make much sense to me.
as per the description:
Answers with no new information will be N/A’ed in order to not tie up mana indefinitely.
I don't see calls to decisively resolve any of these based on evidence provided, even if the market seems convinced. Lots of conjecture, but nothing that says "okay this one is YES/NO". Admittedly I only skimmed and frankly the market has been sitting closed way too long. On the other hand everyone is complaining this is still unresolved.
So I N/A'd everything but the metas "2 [/4] others will resolve YES", because they didn't so those are NO.
@Stralor Feel free to contest any individual N/A by providing link(s) to actionable evidence in a comment in this thread and I will consider those re-resolves case-by-case. But don't wait too long because a resolved market where everyone got their mana back isn't worth litigating forever.
@10thOfficial Can some or all of these resolve? If not, could you give some indication of what we're waiting on?
@mods Can this resolve? Wikipedia has a pretty good summary: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_drone_sightings
@NathanScott If you have a proposed set of resolutions state them here. If @10thOfficial doesn't respond we will just go with whatever the consensus is.
@Eliza Belonging to the US military/government should resolve No I'd say, although I'm biased because I have mana in it. The ones over military infrastructure were usually private citizen drones or other stuff being mistaken for drones.
@NathanScott @10thOfficial is active so tagging them here - can you please resolve your market that closed yesterday? thanks!
@10thOfficial with the description saying, “no information for a long period of time, will close in the Summer of 2025” how’s this looking?
@JasonQ This is why Manifold is a failed experiment in some ways. Bid on Zombie markets you'll forget about which will never be resolved anyway.
It's an erotic invasion 😂
https://www.amazon.com/Bisexually-Pounded-Mysterious-Jersey-Drones-ebook/dp/B0DQQX48KZ