What will be true about the mystery drones flying over New Jersey (NJ)?
224
4.7kṀ96k2026
98%
Two or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes
98%
Many of them are hobbyist drones looking for/chasing the "original" drones
95%
It's just hysteria/mistaken sightings
92%
The drones will have mostly vanished by inauguration
88%
They record images/video using digital cameras
85%
More drones are flying at night after a Sept 2023 change in FAA regulations, leading to an increase in sightings
85%
Four or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes
73%
Belong to a hobbyist
63%
Local officials lack equipment sensitive enough to gauge size and relative threat
40%
Belong to the US military/gov
28%
Uses cellular networks to send and receive data
24%
Belong to an activist
22%
Major Mexican TV network runs story implying drones are alien tech
20%
An adversary is trying to force the US's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
20%
Some drones use advanced technology not available to the public
16%
Redditor on r/UFOs (post with >= 10k upvotes) claims abduction by drones
16%
Their true nature will remain a mystery
14%
Someone will attempt to shoot down a drone and end up injuring themselves or others
14%
Belong to a start-up
13%
At least 1 drone is shot down and recovered
In case there is no information for a long period of time, will close in the Summer of 2025. Answers with no new information will be N/A’ed in order to not tie up mana indefinitely.
Update 2024-16-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution will be based on official sources
Multiple different explanations/sources can be considered true simultaneously
Resolution will wait for information to be properly verified and sorted through
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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