What will be true about the mystery drones flying over New Jersey (NJ)?
226
4.7kṀ97k
2026
99.2%
It's just hysteria/mistaken sightings
98%
Two or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes
97%
Many of them are hobbyist drones looking for/chasing the "original" drones
92%
The drones will have mostly vanished by inauguration
88%
They record images/video using digital cameras
85%
More drones are flying at night after a Sept 2023 change in FAA regulations, leading to an increase in sightings
83%
Their true nature will remain a mystery
83%
Four or more propositions in this market excluding this one will resolve as true/yes
81%
Belong to a hobbyist
76%
Local officials lack equipment sensitive enough to gauge size and relative threat
49%
At least 1 drone is shot down and recovered
28%
Uses cellular networks to send and receive data
24%
Belong to an activist
22%
Major Mexican TV network runs story implying drones are alien tech
20%
Linked to illegal drug activity
20%
An adversary is trying to force the US's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
20%
Some drones use advanced technology not available to the public
16%
Redditor on r/UFOs (post with >= 10k upvotes) claims abduction by drones
14%
Someone will attempt to shoot down a drone and end up injuring themselves or others
14%
Belong to a start-up

In case there is no information for a long period of time, will close in the Summer of 2025. Answers with no new information will be N/A’ed in order to not tie up mana indefinitely.

  • Update 2024-16-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution will be based on official sources

    • Multiple different explanations/sources can be considered true simultaneously

    • Resolution will wait for information to be properly verified and sorted through

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