State of the Union Address (SOTU)
Address to a Joint Session of Congress
Will make every effort to resolve each item based on available information from viewing the address, official and unofficial transcripts, Wikipedia, and other sources. If there is no credible source, will resolve N/A. Some items will take longer to resolve than others.
This is meant to be a fun market. If you have any question about the interpretation of an item ask before participating in it, no exceptions. Participate at your own risk.
If the Address does not happen, all pertinent items resolve NO.
All added options, if not easily resolved default to the owner, if unresponsive, will N/A.
I will try to resolve props as quickly as possible, however, this may not always be the case. If something does or does not happen and the question is not resolved in a timely manner, do not interpret it as a ruling one way or another and have it influence your decisions. I've either missed it or need to do further research after the SOTU to confirm. I will attempt to have everything resolved on the night of the event, but give me a few days to take care of anything I may have missed. Thank you!
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https://manifold.markets/AlanTennant/how-predictive-is-the-state-of-the-UPAAqlqlps?r=QWxhblRlbm5hbnQ
@256 to clarify about the answers i added, id like to resolve them based on the Polymarket resolution.
> Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
@Qoiuoiuoiu has to be exact same from viewing perspective. So similar wouldn’t be enough, but if they all looked the exact same shade of red for example, can resolve yes.
@LietKynes as a part of Palestine, would mention of Gaza count? Does the word Palestine have to be specifically said?
@FecalAbhuman I’d say it’s less messy if you or someone else adds the Gaza option. So no, only Palestine counts
@LietKynes Good idea but you aren't the market creator so no offense I'll rely on their judgement for what counts.
@FecalAbhuman but liet added the answer? So I think liets judgement does matter.
Market rules:
All added options, if not easily resolved default to the owner
I think all mention markets should have require the actual word being spoken. Similar shouldnt count.
@Jack1 The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
He’ll probably clap for everything trump says