Shanghai ATP Masters 1000 - Which men's tennis players will reach semifinals?
6
1.5kṀ2142
Oct 7
91%
🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner (2)
45%
🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev (3)
50%
🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic (4)
34%
🇺🇸 Taylor Fritz (5)
40%
🇺🇸 Ben Shelton (6)
40%
🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur (7)
28%
🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti (8)
28%
🇷🇺 Karen Khachanov (9)
13%
🇩🇰 Holger Rune (10)
15%
🇳🇴 Casper Ruud (11)
35%
🇨🇦 Felix Auger-Aliassime (12)
16%
🇷🇺 Andrey Rublev (13)
14%
🇰🇿 Alexander Bublik (14)
28%
🇨🇿 Jiri Lehecka (15)
40%
Other (Seed >15 or Q)

Resolution criteria

  • For each answer (player), resolve YES if ATP lists him as one of the four men’s singles semifinalists at the 2025 Rolex Shanghai Masters when quarterfinals are complete. Primary sources: ATP results and draws pages for Shanghai 2025. Backup: the tournament’s official results page. If a player reaches the semifinals via a walkover/retirement in the quarterfinals, or later withdraws before playing the semi, it still counts. All others resolve NO. (atptour.com)

Background

  • Event: ATP Masters 1000, Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai; runs 1–12 Oct 2025. Semifinals are scheduled for Saturday, 11 Oct (local). (atptour.com)

  • Format: 96-player singles draw; 32 seeds receive byes into R2; two‑week “Super Masters” since 2023. (en.rolexshanghaimasters.com)

  • Notable context: Carlos Alcaraz (seed 1) withdrew on Sep 30 with a left ankle issue; Jannik Sinner is the defending champion (beat Djokovic in 2024 final); Novak Djokovic is a four‑time Shanghai champion. (atptour.com)

  • Seeds relevant to the suggested answers: Sinner (2), Zverev (3), Djokovic (4), Fritz (5), Shelton (6), de Minaur (7), Musetti (8), Khachanov (9), Rune (10), Ruud (11), Auger-Aliassime (12), Rublev (13), Bublik (14), Lehečka (15). (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

  • Draw placement matters: top seeds have byes, but a 96‑draw increases variance and exposes seeds to dangerous R2/R3 floaters. Check sections/halves once the draw is posted on ATP. (atptour.com)

  • With Alcaraz out, Sinner (defending champ) and Djokovic (4x champion) headline; monitor fitness/early rounds for form signals before committing. (atptour.com)

  • Timing: semifinalists should be known by late Fri/Sat local time; the market can resolve as soon as ATP updates the semifinal lineup. (atptour.com)

Bracket: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current/shanghai/5014/draws

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy