Resolution criteria
For each answer (player), resolve YES if ATP lists him as one of the four men’s singles semifinalists at the 2025 Rolex Shanghai Masters when quarterfinals are complete. Primary sources: ATP results and draws pages for Shanghai 2025. Backup: the tournament’s official results page. If a player reaches the semifinals via a walkover/retirement in the quarterfinals, or later withdraws before playing the semi, it still counts. All others resolve NO. (atptour.com)
Background
Event: ATP Masters 1000, Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai; runs 1–12 Oct 2025. Semifinals are scheduled for Saturday, 11 Oct (local). (atptour.com)
Format: 96-player singles draw; 32 seeds receive byes into R2; two‑week “Super Masters” since 2023. (en.rolexshanghaimasters.com)
Notable context: Carlos Alcaraz (seed 1) withdrew on Sep 30 with a left ankle issue; Jannik Sinner is the defending champion (beat Djokovic in 2024 final); Novak Djokovic is a four‑time Shanghai champion. (atptour.com)
Seeds relevant to the suggested answers: Sinner (2), Zverev (3), Djokovic (4), Fritz (5), Shelton (6), de Minaur (7), Musetti (8), Khachanov (9), Rune (10), Ruud (11), Auger-Aliassime (12), Rublev (13), Bublik (14), Lehečka (15). (en.wikipedia.org)
Considerations
Draw placement matters: top seeds have byes, but a 96‑draw increases variance and exposes seeds to dangerous R2/R3 floaters. Check sections/halves once the draw is posted on ATP. (atptour.com)
With Alcaraz out, Sinner (defending champ) and Djokovic (4x champion) headline; monitor fitness/early rounds for form signals before committing. (atptour.com)
Timing: semifinalists should be known by late Fri/Sat local time; the market can resolve as soon as ATP updates the semifinal lineup. (atptour.com)
Bracket: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current/shanghai/5014/draws
Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "Other (Seed >15 or Q)" option will resolve to 100% if at least one player seeded >15, a wildcard, or a qualifier reaches the semifinals. It does not matter if multiple such players reach the semifinals - the option still resolves to 100% (not proportionally higher).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ269 | |
| 2 | Ṁ140 | |
| 3 | Ṁ70 | |
| 4 | Ṁ55 | |
| 5 | Ṁ22 |
@traders Quarter-finals are all done. Semifinalists are:
🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic (4)
🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev (16)
🇫🇷 Arthur Rinderknech (Unseeded)
🇲🇨 Valentin Vacherot (Q)
Thank you all for trading! The other Shanghai Masters market will be up for trading during the semi-finals and finals this weekend.
@traders Just a clarification, even if more than 1 player that is seeded >15, a wildcard, or a qualifier reaches the semifinals, the "Other (Seed >15 or Q)" option will resolve to 100%. So as of right now, if at least 1 of Rinderknech, Vacherot, and Bergs reaches the semifinals, the "Other (Seed >15 or Q)" option will resolve to 100%. Otherwise it will resolve to 0%.