This market resolves YES if the yes traders have a better score on this chart, depending on their league participation in season 36. Similarly, it resolves to NO if the no traders have a better score. If there is a tie, it resolves to 50%. [image]I was planning to automate the score keeping, but I don't know how to use the API much. I would be very thankful if someone made a tool to automate this. Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Scores will be calculated using the sum (not average) of holders' scores.

Yes — resolved on May 22, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

Are YES traders better, or are NO traders better at Manifold?

Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k

resolved May 22

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market resolves YES if the yes traders have a better score on this chart, depending on their league participation in season 36. Similarly, it resolves to NO if the no traders have a better score. If there is a tie, it resolves to 50%.

I was planning to automate the score keeping, but I don't know how to use the API much. I would be very thankful if someone made a tool to automate this.

Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Scores will be calculated using the sum (not average) of holders' scores.

Meta-markets

Whale Watching

Unranked

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ107
2		Ṁ71
3		Ṁ59
4		Ṁ56
5		Ṁ36

People are also trading

Who will be the "best" trader of 2026 on Manifold?

Sort by:

I finally remembered to resolve this matter. Sorry for the late resolution
YES: 32+(-15)+11+(-15)+(-15)+4.5+11+9+1.6+22+32 = 78.1
NO: (-10)+0+40+6+14+0+15+(-15)+7 = 57
Resolves YES

I won masters and bet no.

@Jack1 sorry, I'm not getting time to resolve it. I'll try to resolve this today.

It's so easy for someone to just make a bet at the last second.

@DottedCalculator not sure you’ve read thoroughly… it‘s not based on which is closer, it’s based on league performance?

@geuber if it's sufficiently close some new trader could just bet one side and whichever side they bet on will win?

@DottedCalculator can somebody help me find all season 36 league ranks of these traders

51 v 70, no is winning. @traders

@100Anonymous now 83 vs 70

@traders yes is at 69, and no is at 70. Only one yes trader needed to swing the market! Masters League players may be interested to bet. @brod @ChristopherRandles @ChadCotty