Are YES traders better, or are NO traders better at Manifold?

Question

This market resolves YES if the yes traders have a better score on this chart, depending on their league participation in season 36. Similarly, it resolves to NO if the no traders have a better score. If there is a tie, it resolves to 50%.

[image]I was planning to automate the score keeping, but I don't know how to use the API much. I would be very thankful if someone made a tool to automate this.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 60% chance (10 traders, as of Apr 1, 2026).

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