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MANIFOLD
Are YES traders better, or are NO traders better at Manifold?
28
Ṁ100Ṁ1.3k
May 1
36%
chance
14

This market resolves YES if the yes traders have a better score on this chart, depending on their league participation in season 36. Similarly, it resolves to NO if the no traders have a better score. If there is a tie, it resolves to 50%.

I was planning to automate the score keeping, but I don't know how to use the API much. I would be very thankful if someone made a tool to automate this.

  • Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Scores will be calculated using the sum (not average) of holders' scores.

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51 v 70, no is winning. @traders

@traders yes is at 69, and no is at 70. Only one yes trader needed to swing the market! Masters League players may be interested to bet. @brod @ChristopherRandles @ChadCotty

@100Anonymous yes is winning. Come on, no holders.

@100Anonymous Big Swing!

@100Anonymous well im not getting any better

@traders NO at 80, YES at -45! @Jack1 @Mochi you may be interested to bet yes back up

Sum or average of holders' scores?

@4fa sum

bought Ṁ10 NO

yes is at -13

no is at 109

bought Ṁ20 NO

Nothing ever happens

bought Ṁ25 YES

@PaperBoy well, something did happen.

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