MANIFOLD
Are there more forks than spoons in the world?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ405
Apr 15
71%
chance

Anything called a fork or spoon counts, but things similar to forks or spoons but not called as such do not.
I made this kind of market last year. However, I couldn't continue the series. So here is a new market for you all. Link for original: https://manifold.markets/100Anonymous/are-there-more-chairs-than-tables

Give any arguments in the comments. The final answer will be decided by these arguments.

  • Update 2026-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Spooning (the cuddling action) does not count as a spoon, as it is a verb and was never a spoon to begin with.

  • Update 2026-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Things that are "forked" (e.g. a snake's tongue) may count as forks, though the creator is open to compromise if traders disagree.

  • Update 2026-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A fork in the road counts only if it is clearly marked as a potential diversion to a different but still mainstream route — not every exit or intersection.

  • Update 2026-03-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Things that are forked only count as forks if it makes sense to call them a fork (e.g. a snake's tongue does not count as a fork).

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Note that you can make your arguments for folks or spoons in here.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Do DNA replication forks count?

@Elspeth it's 11 p.m. at night for me, but I don't think so. I'll do more research and confirm tomorrow.

Chopsticks is an alternative to a fork, there is no competing alternative to a spoon.

fork. 🔱🥢🥄 🥄

@AlanTennant main question here is whether there is something named a fork or spoon that is not a fork or spoon that is much higher in numbers

I evaporated three swimming pools for this

Forks (in use): ~12–30 billion

Spoons (in use): ~18–45 billio

n

@Bandors we'll see. There may be more cases of spoons or forks that GPT wasn't able to find.
P.S: what a waste of swimming pools' worth of water.

@TheAllMemeingEye Would you like to inject any volatility inducing dissertation-level shenanigans into the discourse?

reposted

Chairs vs tables is back!

@100Anonymous If something is "forked", then is it definitionally a fork? For example, a snake's tongue?

@Quroe interesting. I would say yes, but if other traders disagree, I'd be willing to compromise.

@100Anonymous Additionally, is the cuddling action of "spooning" a spoon only while it's happening, then ceases to be a spoon upon conclusion? Or is something that is in the past tense always a spoon?

@Quroe no, I don't think it is a spoon because it wasn't ever a spoon in the first place. It was a verb. Although technically it should count as a spoon, it anyway ceases after conclusion.

@100Anonymous Ah, but as @Bandors alluded to below, is a "Github fork" a fork? Is something entirely digital or conceptual a fork?

@Quroe Hold on, not sure about this. If this market becomes more popular, I might make a poll. I think yes, but again I am willing to compromise if traders disagree.

@100Anonymous You underestimate the pedantry of Manifolders. 😈

@Quroe going with yes as of now.

@Quroe I don't think a snakes tongue is a fork. It is forked, but "a snakes tongue is a fork" doesn't make sense

@Bandors wait, that convinces me. I think something that is forked but makes sense to call a fork can be used, for example, not a snake's tongue.

On this subject, at what point is there a "fork in a road"? Every side road, every highway exit, every street block intersection -- are they all forks?

@Quroe A fork in the road would count if it was clearly marked. Not just any exit, but rather something that clearly says that there is a potential diversion to a different but still mainstream route.

@Quroe if you can argue anything at the microscopic level is a fork (forks in circuits etc) , it would surely resolve to forks...

@100Anonymous Does this not meet that definition?

@Quroe well, if the exit is mainstream, then yes, but this looks to be a road to community or layout, so not really a fork.

@Quroe if I were to count forks like that, everything small diversion would be a fork.

sold Ṁ30 NO

@Quroe I can agree with major marked forks if we can write off anything at the microscopic level

@Bandors yeah, I think that makes sense.

@100Anonymous

if I were to count forks like that, everything small diversion would be a fork.

That is exactly my angle, yes. All forks lead to Rome.

@Quroe let's give spoons a fighting chance.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@100Anonymous I'm 100% team spoon since we agree to ignore anything not visible to human eye

@100Anonymous I am summoning @TheAllMemeingEye to do just that.

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