How many days into May will Starship flight 4 will happen?
Mini
9
11k
resolved Jun 10
Resolved
37-38

The Market resolves the Number of Days into May when Starship launches (from 1 to 50)

May 1st resoles as 1,
May 2st resolves as 2 and so on up until June 19th.

If Starship launches before May 1st, it will resolve as 1.

If it launches after June 19th, the market will resolve as 50.

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ30
2Ṁ12
3Ṁ10
4Ṁ10
5Ṁ6
Sort by:

Resolves, uhh presumably 37 I didn't calculate

@zerfaezza can you resolve this?

So easy to see myself getting a fence post error while drawing this plot...

bought Ṁ16 41-42 YES

FTS was installed today. 6 days before earliest launch.

Was installed 6 and 9 days before launch for IFT3, 2 respectively.

Added a few more days after for margin.

>"If Starship launches before April 1st, it will resolve as 1."
April ?? question says May. Also re "1" does that mean 100% or 1%?

Is this meant to be

If Starship launches before May 1st, it will resolve as 0%.
If Starship launches on May 1st, it will resolve as 1%.
If Starship launches on May 2nd, it will resolve as 2%.
and so on, up to on June 19 resolves as 50%
and on up to on Aug 8 or later resolves to 100%

@ChristopherRandles I'm still not too familiar with these new numeric markets but I assume this market has been set up such that it can only resolve as an integer from 1 to 50 (inclusive); i.e. if the launch happens on June 19th or later it resolves as '50', and if it happened on June 18th it would resolve as 49, etc

Though I think you are correct that the description should read "If Starship launches before May 1st, it will resolve as 1"

@Nat quite right scrub last line, first line and the %ages and make next to last line on or after 19 June 50

@Nat On or before May 1st resolves as 1 presumably.

@ChristopherRandles May 1st resolves as 1, not April 1st.

I also updated the description to clarify the Results.