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MANIFOLD
Will I get a 2nd MtG Regional Championship qualification this weekend?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ1k
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
YES

I'm playing paper RCQs Saturday and Sunday with Ruby Storm. I've won my last two paper RCQs (one with Ruby Storm about a month ago and a Pioneer one with Phoenix in April).

I don't know how big the events will be, but my guess is each will be 17-32 people. Either could be lower.

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bought Ṁ30 YES

I think across 2 RCQs you have pretty good odds.

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 25% order

Surely there’s no way any single player has more than 25% equity in a 16-player tournament

Good thing there's two RCQs!

If you split in finals how does this resolve?

Either I get a qualification or I don't? You can't split the qualification.

@zax Are you not qualified from the previous wins?

I only have one qualification in the bank and am not otherwise qualified from an RC or PT finish or anything. I'm playing for something, not just showing up to RCQs for fun.

The Phoenix RCQ was Pioneer and qualified for a different RC, I just included my massive 2-RCQ win streak as a potentially relevant data point. (Maybe I'm due for a loss.)