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MANIFOLD
Is the US government the mystery oil futures seller?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.8k
Dec 31
15%
chance

  • Update 2026-03-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator may resolve to N% (PARTIAL) if there is uncertainty, potentially at a very small N if evidence is lacking but not entirely absent.

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bought Ṁ1,000 NO

I assume this resolves NO by default if there is never any credible evidence that it was?

@xjp I'm open to a resolution to N% if there's uncertainty, potentially for very small N.