Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2075?
Basic
2
Ṁ60
2075
33%
chance

Resolution Criteria:
This question resolves to "Yes" if, before January 1st, 2075, a formal, publicly released statement—either in a peer-reviewed scientific journal or from a reputable academic or research institution—announces that a human individual's mind (including their memories, personality, consciousness, and sense of self) has been transferred to and demonstrated to operate within a non-biological computer. All of the following criteria must be met:

  1. Formal Documentation:

    • The claim must be published in a peer-reviewed journal or as an official institutional report.

  2. Expert Verification:

    • At least 10 signatories must endorse the claim, each holding a PhD or equivalent in a relevant field (e.g., neuroscience, cognitive science, AI, philosophy of mind).

    • Each signatory must have a faculty or research position at an accredited university, recognized research institution, or reputable company.

    • Each signatory must have a track record of peer-reviewed research.

  3. Evidence of Mind Uploading:

    • The document must clearly state that a human individual’s memories, cognitive functions, personality traits, and subjective sense of identity have been replicated and are demonstrably operating within a non-biological computational medium.

    • The evidence should include data supporting continuity of personal identity (e.g., verified recognition of personal memories known only to that individual, consistent personality profiles, or other established psychological measures).

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

To what extent does brain uploading depend on the brain having a representation for everything that makes you you?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules