Is @MrGirl really MrGirl? (Deadline for proof: end of the year)
43
201
2.9K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if proof of identity is posted (e.g. an “It’s me on MM” tweet), as soon as I get online and see a link,
otherwise resolves NO on 2022–12–31.

I’m gonna subsidize and bet NO to encourage them to come forward, and also because I’m doubting (but it’s a good meme either way). Reference: https://manifold.markets/MrGirl/do-you-guys-know-any-orbitors-that.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

I positively verified the message below in Discord. I didn’t include a “resolve NO early” clause in the market description, so the original deadline stands. I can expedite the market resolution if all human YES holders sell all YES shares early. If you disagree, don’t sell.

To preempt more tomfoolery here’s a clarification: unless it is irrefutably shown that MrGirl controlled the account before today, I’ll resolve NO.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@Tomzy is the imposter


bought Ṁ100 of NO

He was the first one to post that market in DGG chat within 30mins of the it being created. He claimed that Max had mentioned manifold in his discord and that he got banned, but I couldn't find any evidence for either. 🕵️‍♂️

predicted NO

@Tomzy created a new option and the market immediately proceeded to be resolved in it's favour. 🤔

I think @DavidChee should look into this and issue the appropriate flairs. ⚖️

sold Ṁ51 of YES

@hardy You can argue it's a weird coincidence but to accuse me of a rug pull is wrong, wouldn't it be exactly like MrGirl to play strange games like this?

predicted NO

@Tomzy Lots of weird coincidences

@hardy You have made a fair deal of money from this situation as well, I have as much evidence to say it's you

bought Ṁ500 of NO

@Tomzy Nope, not going to be making much since I only bought in after I had proof and the market was already so low. Only did it because you told me to put my Mana where my mouth is 🙂

bought Ṁ20 of YES

Risky YES bet. I think it's probably him, but I don't see why he would prove his identity by the end of the year, so the market has a good chance of resolving NO.

predicted NO

@LLLLLL As long as the market is <<100%, he has an above-zero incentive for truth-telling – he can insider trade and win some charity donating power (around $20 equivalent now). This means, by the way, that believers should not push the market too high, not to smother this incentive.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

Unless some really weird shit is going down it's him, i'm genuinely banned from his discord