Will G. Elliott Morris leave 538 after the 2024 election?

1kṀ9865

resolved Mar 19

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves YES if at any point before the end of 2025, G. Elliott Morris is not involved with 538, the election polling aggregator website (e.g. quits, fired, laid off). Otherwise, resolves NO.

Politics

US Politics

Trump

2024 US Presidential Election

Joe Biden

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ394
2		Ṁ207
3		Ṁ85
4		Ṁ84
5		Ṁ47

People are also trading

Will there be a 538 election model for the 2028 election?

26% chance

Will the 538 brand be active again by the end of the year?

50% chance

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?

Sort by:

@mods This can resolve YES, creator is inactive and didn't respond to ping.

@DanielTilkin Alright, done.

@DanielTilkin Wait, no one pinged the creator.

@xyz Resolving on your behalf. If you disagree just reply within 24 hours.

@Eliza my below post was tagged with @creator, does that not work?

@DanielTilkin That is not a thing. You have to use the user's username.

bought Ṁ2,680 YES

@creator this can resolve YES, given that 538 was shut today and everybody laid off.
https://x.com/gelliottmorris/status/1897363074073682360

@DanielTilkin No doubt about it. His Twitter bio says former.

Potential reasons he would leave: a lot of people are unhappy with his forecast showing Biden up against Trump despite polls showing him down.

People are also trading

Will there be a 538 election model for the 2028 election?

26% chance

Will the 538 brand be active again by the end of the year?

50% chance

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?

55% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions