Will at least 2 people die in Israel’s judicial reform protests?
26
490Ṁ2555
resolved Apr 30
Resolved
NO

Currently 0 have died. Their death must be directly caused by the protesting itself. Here are examples:

Would count:

  • Being killed by police

  • Falling while actively protesting

  • Being killed by protesters

Would not count:

  • Car crash while driving to protest

  • Having a stroke or heart attack unless it's clear it was caused by protesting

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Israeli_judicial_reform_protests

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predictedNO

Wikipedia currently reports no deaths related to the protests and I haven't seen news of any either, so this resolves NO.

Extension market:

predictedNO

Considering reopening this, since the protests are definitely still going. Does that sound alright?

predictedNO

@xyz Fine with me.

predictedNO

@xyz I think some of us shorted this because it was a few hours from closing time.

predictedNO

@xyz Same ^

predictedNO

@xyz obviously biased opinion because i have no shares, but considering the close date, maybe resolving and creating a 2nd market for extension?

predictedNO

@KyleWan Sure

I think we've passed the peak of the protests

Seems like there will be a protest of both sides at the same time later today:
https://twitter.com/itamarbengvir/status/1640326178505474050

Might be one or two. The haredi and Palestinian conflicts are much more serious. The judicial reform only matters if the government is able to function, if the haredi rebel then nobody will defend the settlements and all that will pour into israel.

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