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Who will win Eurovision 2023?
42
resolved May 13
Sweden
Chosen
44%
Pierogi avatarFinland
27%
chrislkj avatarFrance
7%
Chocobo avatarUkraine
7%
Nikola avatarSpain
4%
Nikola avatarAustria
1.5%
MartinModrak avatarCzech Republic
1.2%
Radicalia avatarIsrael
1.2%
tbyrn21 avatarAustralia
1.1%

Eurovision Song Contest 2023 is set to take place in Liverpool, United Kingdom, from May 9 to May 13. Which country will win?

Here is a list of recent winners:

2022: Ukraine

2021: Italy

2020: No contest held

2019: Netherlands

2018: Israel

2017: Portugal

Individual countries:

/xyz/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2023

/xyz/will-sweden-win-eurovision-2023

/xyz/will-finland-win-eurovision-2023

/xyz/will-norway-win-the-eurovision

/xyz/will-spain-win-the-eurovision-in-20

/xyz/will-australia-win-eurovision-2023

/xyz/will-czech-republic-win-eurovision

/xyz/will-france-win-eurovision-2023

/xyz/will-israel-win-eurovision-2023

Other:

/xyz/will-there-be-a-stage-invasion-at-e

/xyz/will-there-be-a-security-incident-a

Resolves to the first occurance of the winning country in the answer choices. Resolves N/A if the contest is cancelled.

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MartinModrak avatar
Martin Modrák

What am I missing? To me, there's no way a single country can have above ~15% in such an unpredictable event with that many contestants. Maybe you can somewhat guess the people vote (still IMHO far fetched as unexpected major events related to contestants countries may easily swing it) but the jury vote seems quite intractable...

ScipioFabius avatar
Scipio Fabius

@MartinModrak no jury vote this year, only popular vote in the finals as far as I am aware. It seems reasonable to bet on popular vote.

CharlesDillon avatar
Charles Dillon

@MartinModrak the one month out favourite won in both of the last two years, 15% seems way too low

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