Finland
France
Ukraine
SpainAustria
Czech Republic
Israel
AustraliaEurovision Song Contest 2023 is set to take place in Liverpool, United Kingdom, from May 9 to May 13. Which country will win?
Here is a list of recent winners:
2022: Ukraine
2021: Italy
2020: No contest held
2019: Netherlands
2018: Israel
2017: Portugal
Individual countries:
/xyz/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2023
/xyz/will-sweden-win-eurovision-2023
/xyz/will-finland-win-eurovision-2023
/xyz/will-norway-win-the-eurovision
/xyz/will-spain-win-the-eurovision-in-20
/xyz/will-australia-win-eurovision-2023
/xyz/will-czech-republic-win-eurovision
/xyz/will-france-win-eurovision-2023
/xyz/will-israel-win-eurovision-2023
Other:
/xyz/will-there-be-a-stage-invasion-at-e
/xyz/will-there-be-a-security-incident-a
Resolves to the first occurance of the winning country in the answer choices. Resolves N/A if the contest is cancelled.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ589 | |
| 2 | Ṁ403 | |
| 3 | Ṁ130 | |
| 4 | Ṁ90 | |
| 5 | Ṁ62 |
What am I missing? To me, there's no way a single country can have above ~15% in such an unpredictable event with that many contestants. Maybe you can somewhat guess the people vote (still IMHO far fetched as unexpected major events related to contestants countries may easily swing it) but the jury vote seems quite intractable...
@MartinModrak no jury vote this year, only popular vote in the finals as far as I am aware. It seems reasonable to bet on popular vote.
@MartinModrak the one month out favourite won in both of the last two years, 15% seems way too low
