Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edward Jiang qualifies for the American Invitational Mathematics Examination (AIME) in the 2025-2026 competition cycle. Qualification is determined by performance on either the AMC 10 or AMC 12 administered in late 2025 or early 2026. Edward Jiang must appear on the official list of AIME qualifiers published by the Mathematical Association of America (MAA).

Specifically, qualification for AIME requires:

• AMC 10: Scoring 120 or more out of 150 points, or being in the top 2.5% of all AMC 10 participants. In recent years, cutoffs have typically ranged from 94.5 to 105 points, corresponding to the top 6-8% of participants.

• AMC 12: Achieving a score of 100 or more out of 150 points, or being in the top 5% of all AMC 12 participants. Recent cutoffs have generally fallen between 85.5 and 93 points, representing approximately the top 12% of participants.

The exact numerical cutoff scores vary annually based on the difficulty of the AMC 10 and AMC 12 exams.

The market will resolve to "No" if Edward Jiang does not appear on the official list of AIME qualifiers for the 2025-2026 cycle.

Background

The American Invitational Mathematics Examination (AIME) is a prestigious 15-question, 3-hour mathematics competition. It serves as the second level in a series of examinations designed to identify and challenge high-achieving high school students, ultimately leading to the United States of America Mathematical Olympiad (USAMO) and the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO). Students qualify for the AIME by performing exceptionally well on either the AMC 10 (for students in 10th grade or below) or the AMC 12 (for students in 12th grade or below). Calculators are not permitted during the AIME.

Considerations

Students who qualify for the AIME may take either the AIME I or AIME II, which are administered on different dates, but can only participate in one of the two exams. The specific cutoff scores for AIME qualification are determined each year by the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) after the AMC 10 and AMC 12 competitions, taking into account the difficulty of those exams.