The primary purpose of this market is to decide how I should act in @IsaacKing 's market

At some time between noon and 6PM Pacific Time on Mar 29, I will

• flip a coin to decide the outcome of this market

• shamelessly trade to profiteer off that knowledge

• immediately resolve this market

I will then sum the square roots of the number of shares held on each side, excluding my own, and square the sum on each side, getting two numbers Y and N. I will split in the linked market with probability Y/(Y+N) (and steal otherwise). (I will roll my RNG a second time to decide this.)

For example, suppose there are four positions in the market:

• 1, 4, 4 on YES

• 9 on NO

Then Y = (sqrt(1) + sqrt(4) + sqrt(4))^2 and N = (sqrt(9))^2, so I will split with probability 25/(25+9).