By the end of 2024, will there be a major security vulnerability reported to be caused by AI generated code?
23
79
Ṁ816Ṁ450
2025
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For this market to resolve YES there must be a CVE with score >= 8/10, which is documented as being caused by AI generated code. Attacks against the code generation process itself do not count.
Looking for things in the spirit of this study, but there might be some judgement over what counts.
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No, because while many closed-source app developers may trust AI-generated code too much, open source developers either won't generate code or won't blindly trust it, and no-one will care enough about closed-source apps to create a CVE for them.
(I realise this belief is probably irrational and the dichotomy isn't 100%, and that's why I only bet M10 on this.)
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