Will a movie be made about the missing Titanic explorer?
101
1.9kṀ37k
2030
99%
chance

Resolves YES if there's a movie about the missing OceanGate submersible by 2030. Resolves NO otherwise.

To be considered a movie for the purposes of this market, the film must meet all of the following criteria:

  1. It's clear the OceanGate submersible (or a fictional analog) that went missing in June 2023 is the primary subject of the film.

  2. It's at least 90 minutes long (including credits). A miniseries of separate episodes that, in total, includes 90+ minutes of content would not be considered a 90+ minute long movie.

  3. It's widely recognized as a serious movie, evidenced by being extremely profitable or well-known, available on a popular streaming service (something like posting on YouTube in the usual sense would not count), shown in theatres, played on cable television, or something else along these lines.

All the criteria must be met by 2030 for the market to resolve YES.

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