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MANIFOLD
Will AD flight 8704 from Campinas to Fort Lauderdale on 2023-10-21 arrive with 30+ min delay (YES)?
3
Ṁ110Ṁ22
resolved Oct 22
Resolved
NO

!!!ALERT!!!: YES now means arrival delay (in line with Wingman website), while NO means on-time arrival. Track flight arrival here: https://tinyurl.com/bdfxvtzb

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This market should be clarified. Does the date refer to the departure or arrival? Also, how does it resolve if the flight is canceled, as occurred with the flight that was scheduled to arrive on Oct 21?

@JaredBJonas date refers to the departure; canceled is resolved as Yes. I will update that part for new markets, thank you

@wingman_web3 Sure. And thank you!

@JaredBJonas here is an example - please let me know if this one makes it more clear: https://manifold.markets/wingman_web3/will-me-flight-313-from-amman-to-be

Will ME flight 313 from Amman to Beirut departing on 2023-10-23 arrive with 30+ min delay (YES)?
98.1% chance. YES means 30+ min arrival delay or flight cancellation/diversion, while NO means on-time arrival. Track flight arrival here: https://tinyurl.com/muaz26s3

@wingman_web3 Yes, I see no other ambiguity with this new one. Looks great.

Looks unlikely.

https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/AZU8704

AD8704 (AZU8704) Azul Brazilian Airlines Flight Tracking and History - FlightAware
Flight status, tracking, and historical data for Azul Brazilian Airlines 8704 (AD8704/AZU8704) including scheduled, estimated, and actual departure and arrival times.