Will I reach a Manifold daily-quest streak of 100?
6
100Ṁ57
Jul 2
68%
chance

My current streak: 48.

My current streak Forgiveness: 0

Resolution criteria:

  • Resolves YES if I successfully maintain my daily-quest streak until it reaches 100, considering the allowed one-day forgiveness per calendar month.

  • Resolves NO if I lose the streak by missing more than the allowed one day per month at any point before reaching 100.

Additional notes:

  • I'll bet 5 mana on YES daily unless the probability already exceeds 99%. I will never bet NO.

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