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MANIFOLD
What will be the percent change in US real GDP in Q1 2023?
3
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resolved May 10
Resolved
1.1

This will be resolved using this FRED series https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A191RL1Q225SBEA, which is actually taking data from the BEA, but FRED formats it nicer. Note this includes seasonal adjustment at an annualized rate. This is the typical number reported in headlines when quarterly GDP numbers are released.

This data release will be on the morning of April 27, so this market closes a few hours earlier.

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sorry it took me a few weeks to resolve, got busy.