Will the UK face a major power cut this winter due to the weather?
18
330Ṁ6919
resolved Mar 26
Resolved
NO

Last Christmas, there were fears lights would be out.

However, even without a cold spell and gas shortage, there could still be a savage wind that brings down a large number of powerlines etc.

If the UK experiences >20000 households worth of powercut due to one weather event, this will resolve YES.

BTW winter is classed as Fri, 22 Dec 2023 – Wed, 20 Mar 2024

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ122
2Ṁ35
3Ṁ22
4Ṁ20
5Ṁ15
Sort by:

I can't find google evidence of any substantial power cuts this past winter in the UK, resolving NO as the creator is inactive.

Do the 20,000 households need to be without power at the same time? If there's a big storm that knocks out 10,000 households for a few minutes, and then a few minutes after they get their power back, the same storm knocks out another 15,000 households, is that enough for a YES resolution?

@Fion I think it should be simulteanous, yes. Something could be reported like "At its peak, 60000 homes were without power in Scotland" or something.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules