Will a blockchain-based social network have a million users by June 2023?

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resolved Jun 8

Resolved

NO

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Resolves yes if a social network which operates primarily on a blockchain has had at least a million users by the end of May 2023.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here.

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag @DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

Do you consider holochain blockchain-based? It doesn't really chunk transactions into blocks, nor does it have an artificially scarce platform token, so isn't generally referred to as a blockchain (prefer "ledger"), despite it realizing all of the same opportunities.

predicted NO

blockchain social has the "undeleteable" problem

is bluesky blockchain based?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@jacksonpolack no, see https://atproto.com/guides/overview

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In which year will there be a social network with more active users than Facebook?

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Will some form of decentralized social media have at least 5% global user share by 2030?

Will Worldcoin reach 10M users by the end of 2024?

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

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Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?

Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?

Will this market reach 1000 users by 2030?

Will some form of decentralized social media have at least 5% global user share by 2030?

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Will Worldcoin reach 10M users by the end of 2024?

Will Threads have >10M DAUs in two years?

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