Elon Musk has mentioned offhandedly that the platform will consider moving towards a subscription model for all users in order to combat bots.
See video:
https://youtu.be/Sea-Uxw5Syg?si=XtaCwWKRgxtQAray
This market does not resolve N/A.
Resolves YES if:
At any point before January 1st, 2025, twitter.com or x.com requires all users, existing or new, to pay any amount of money to do ANY of the following: post, comment, repost, quote post, like, bookmark or view posts on the platform.
The resolution should be interpreted to mean "anything free users could previously do (as of today September 28th, 2023) but can no longer do without paying a fee"
A release of new premium features that add functionality to the platform that did not already exist do not count.
Currently paywalled features such a subscription posts or other premium features do not count.
Resolves NO otherwise.
This market is a longer resolution time frame of this market:
https://manifold.markets/whalelang/will-xcom-require-users-to-pay-to-u?r=d2hhbGVsYW5n
Edit:
... x.com requires users to pay..
becomes
... x.com requires all users, existing or new, to pay..
1,000
3.00Regarding this update:
https://help.twitter.com/using-x/not-a-bot
I regret that I introduced some amount of ambiguity by not distinguishing between new, existing, some and all users.
Because I mentioned all users in the opening description, I will use this meaning going forward. In other words, these changes must affect all users whether they are existing or new.