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MANIFOLD
Will I get a on perfect score on predictle 3 times in a row
11
Ṁ100Ṁ259
resolved Jan 22
Resolved
YES

1/3

Predictle #15

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZm

2/3

Predictle #16

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZmVl

3/3
Predictle #17

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZmVl

Predictle is a daily game where you arrange prediction markets by probability. This market is about achieving a perfect score on Predictle 3 times in a row.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if I achieve a perfect score on Predictle three consecutive times in a row (1/3) above. A perfect score means correctly arranging all prediction markets by probability in a single day's Predictle game. The market resolves NO if I fail to achieve three consecutive perfect scores before the resolution date. Resolution will be based on my own reporting of my Predictle results at https://manifold.markets/predictle.

Background

Predictle is a daily game where you arrange prediction markets by probability. You've already achieved your first perfect score, as indicated in your description.

Considerations

Predictle's difficulty varies day-to-day depending on the specific markets featured and how close their probabilities are to each other. Achieving three consecutive perfect scores requires both skill and consistency, as a single imperfect day breaks the streak and requires starting over.

Market context
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Predictle #16

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZmVl