Will Kerbal Space Program 2 release before May 2023?
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Kerbal Space Program 2 announced for early access release on February 24th, 2023: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XAL3XaP-LyE

Early access or "official" release?

predictedNO

@MattP I'm gonna say early access will count, because it seems like these days the early access label is basically a way to signal that a game will be getting a lot of post-release updates. Also "will KSP release" is a more interesting question than "will KSP release in early access", in my opinion.

A closed beta or alpha (or weird stuff like timed betas) won't count.

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