What's true about pro-em reports heard by Robin Hanson? (add your own options)
Basic
4
Ṁ265
2030
95%
As of tweet time Hanson was 50%+ on ems before 2100
95%
The news originated in a for-profit company
88%
It's an achieved breakthrough in em tech/science
85%
Hanson first heard it July or August 2024
64%
It's about ems being easy
5%
It's about AGI being hard
3%
Hanson made it up

@RobinHanson recently tweeted

> I have heard reports that I can’t make public updating me to guess ems are more likely to arrive first, before full cheap human level AGI.

What did Hanson see? I will resolve Yes/No when something becomes pretty clear to me, might resolve N/A to not lock up mana.

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Ṁ1,000
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"about ems being easy" shouldn't be lower than "achieved breakthrough in em tech/science"

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