Resolves to the youngest statement before the end of April 2024 SF time.

Scott Alexander recently published https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/practically-a-book-review-rootclaim , where he says

> For what it’s worth, I was close to 50-50 before the debate, and now I’m 90-10 in favor of zoonosis.

some sus aspects of the debate have been pointed out, which may change the update. If there is no further statement with a number for P(zoonosis), resolves to 90%.

(it's not clear that this is actually P(zoonosis)=90% or just odds compared to gain of function, ignoring other hypotheses. The market will resolve based on the best number for P(zoonosis) we get, 90% if no other number appears)