What will be Scott Alexander's P(zoonosis) at the end of 2025?
5
100Ṁ231Dec 31
32%
> 90%
29%
90%
32%
60% <= x < 90%
5%
40% <= x < 60%
3%
<40%
Resolves to the youngest public statement before the end of December 31 2025 SF time.
The current last statement is 90%.
see April 2024 market https://manifold.markets/warty/what-will-be-scott-alexanders-pzoon
see 2024 market https://manifold.markets/warty/what-will-be-scott-alexanders-pzoon-3e1affe0e987
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