Did Scott Alexander enter his own book review contest (May 2023)?

closes Dec 31

62%

chance

ALL

From https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/open-thread-274 :
> Last year people kept guessing that various reviews were by me, and I had to reassure you that no, I hadn’t secretly entered my own contest. This year I refuse to confirm or deny anything, so have fun speculating!

If there is no definitive statement on this from Scott 32 days after announcing the contest winner, resolves NO. Otherwise resolves to what Scott says.

ACX Book Review Contest

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Benjamin Cosmanbought Ṁ40 of YES

And here are two markets where you can bet on what place Scott will get:

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminCosman/if-scott-alexander-enters-the-2023

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminCosman/if-scott-alexander-enters-the-2023-0b6f649df541

FionBull bought Ṁ10 YES from 61% to 62%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 NO at 61% (cancelled) 🤖

FionBull bought Ṁ50 YES from 60% to 63%

FionBull bought Ṁ20 YES from 58% to 60%

Fion bought Ṁ10 YES at 58%

S G bought Ṁ10 YES from 57% to 58%

tailcalled bought Ṁ20 NO from 59% to 57%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ33/Ṁ100 YES at 59% (cancelled) 🤖

Multicore bought Ṁ100 NO from 67% to 56%

42irrationalist bought Ṁ85 YES from 62% to 67%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 NO at 62% (cancelled) 🤖

42irrationalist bought Ṁ100 YES from 56% to 63%

Gustavo bought Ṁ10 YES from 55% to 56%

Timothy bought Ṁ30 NO from 58% to 55%

Lavander sold Ṁ12 YES from 59% to 58%

Ernest Prabhakar bought Ṁ10 NO from 61% to 59%

Abraxas bought Ṁ10 YES from 60% to 61%

Fion sold Ṁ39 YES from 63% to 60%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ26/Ṁ100 NO at 63% (cancelled) 🤖

Alicorn bought Ṁ200 YES from 49% to 67%

Lavander bought Ṁ10 YES from 48% to 49%

Karl Voskuil bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 48%

Shaked Koplewitz bought Ṁ35 YES from 43% to 47%

Andrew Smith bought Ṁ10 NO from 44% to 43%

Sky bought Ṁ10 NO from 45% to 44%

Multicore bought Ṁ50 NO from 51% to 45%

craftyvisage bought Ṁ55 NO from 59% to 51%

Reynolds bought Ṁ10 YES from 58% to 59%

Nathan Showell bought Ṁ10 NO from 60% to 58%

William D'Alessandro bought Ṁ35 YES from 54% to 60%

Abraxas bought Ṁ5 YES at 54%

Levi Finkelstein bought Ṁ2 NO at 54%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 44%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 76%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ3 NO from 55% to 54%

Warty bought Ṁ100 YES from 29% to 55%

Tom Bouley sold Ṁ8 NO from 28% to 29%

jackson polack sold Ṁ13 NO from 27% to 28%

JAAM sold Ṁ30 YES from 35% to 27%

Fion bought Ṁ5 YES from 34% to 35%

zzq bought Ṁ30 NO from 38% to 34%

Multicore bought Ṁ50 NO from 50% to 38%

Benjamin Cosman bought Ṁ40 YES from 37% to 50%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 YES from 33% to 37%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 YES from 29% to 33%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 YES from 26% to 29%

zzq bought Ṁ40 NO from 32% to 26%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 NO at 32% (cancelled)

Fion bought Ṁ30 YES from 21% to 34%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 21% (cancelled)

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