Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?
14
Ṁ1kṀ2792053
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he gets arrested or dies in office, I will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035?
43% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2034?
50% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2037?
40% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2038?
37% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
86% chance
Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
69% chance
Will Putin be embalmed within 1 year of death like other leaders in Russia?
6% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2039?
27% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2036?
44% chance
Will Putin die in office?
72% chance
Sort by:
@PS I will resolve NO if he dies or gets arrested while in office. This is an important question, thanks, I will update the description.
My intention with this question is to see what chances Putin has of giving up his office and, like, not getting into severe trouble immediately.
@Odoacre No, I meant imprisonment, sorry. A custodial term, an arrest, a pre-trial detention, stuff like that.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035?
43% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2034?
50% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2037?
40% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2038?
37% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
86% chance
Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
69% chance
Will Putin be embalmed within 1 year of death like other leaders in Russia?
6% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2039?
27% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2036?
44% chance
Will Putin die in office?
72% chance