
Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?
14
1kṀ2792053
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he gets arrested or dies in office, I will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@PS I will resolve NO if he dies or gets arrested while in office. This is an important question, thanks, I will update the description.
My intention with this question is to see what chances Putin has of giving up his office and, like, not getting into severe trouble immediately.
@Odoacre No, I meant imprisonment, sorry. A custodial term, an arrest, a pre-trial detention, stuff like that.
Related questions
Related questions
How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
81% chance
Will Putin die in office?
77% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
81% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive on 1st January 2026?
94% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive by January 1, 2025?
99% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2037?
40% chance
Will Vladimir Putin, the President of Russia, die (through causes natural or not) before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2038?
45% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2034?
50% chance