Will the fastest F1 team in pre-season testing (Ferrari) qualify on pole for the first race?
resolved Mar 1

Let’s test the predictive power of pre-season testing in Formula 1.

This market resolves yes if one car from the team that had the fastest lap in pre-season testing qualifies on pole in the first qualifying of the season.

The car and driver pairing that qualifies on pole doesn’t need to be the same as the fastest from testing; just needs to be the same team.

The last test session is on Feb 22nd and this market closes a day later on Feb 23rd. I will then resolve after the first qualifying of the season ends.

Edit: fastest team in testing is Ferrari

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This market resolves yes if a Ferrari is on pole for the first race.

Market closes for betting in a little over 24 hours.

Charles Leclerc ends day three with the quickest time in the Ferrari on the C4 soft tyre with a 1:30.322.

Ferrari is now fastest in testing. One more test day to go.

Here's the lap times from the second test day.

1. Carlos Sainz (Ferrari) - 1:29.921

2. Sergio Perez (Red Bull) + 0.758

3 Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) +1.145

4. Lando Norris (McLaren) + 1.335

5. Daniel Ricciardo (RB) + 1.440

6. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) + 1.829

7. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin) + 2.108

8. Esteban Ocon (Alpine) + 2.140

9. Valtteri Bottas (Sauber) + 2.306

10. Oscar Piastri (McLaren) + 2.407

Pre-season testing day one

1. Max Verstappen (Red Bull) - 1:31.344

2. Lando Norris (McLaren) + 1.140

3. Carlos Sainz (Ferrari) + 1.240

4. Daniel Ricciardo (RB) +1.225

5. Pierre Gasly (Alpine) + 1.461

6. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin) + 1.663

7. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) + 1.903

8. Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin) + 2.041

9. Oscar Piastri (McLaren) + 2.314

10. Zhou Guanyu (Sauber) + 2.527