Let’s test the predictive power of pre-season testing in Formula 1.
This market resolves yes if one car from the team that had the fastest lap in pre-season testing wins the first race of the season a week later on the same track.
The car and driver pairing that wins the race doesn’t need to be the same as the fastest from testing; just needs to be the same team.
The last test session is on Feb 22nd and this market closes a day later on Feb 23rd. I will then resolve after the first race of the season ends.
Edit: fastest team in testing is Ferrari
Similar market for qualifying:
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🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ74 | |
| 2 | Ṁ62 | |
| 3 | Ṁ19 | |
| 4 | Ṁ10 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
Ferrari is now fastest in testing. One more test day to go.
Here's the lap times from the second test day.
1. Carlos Sainz (Ferrari) - 1:29.921
2. Sergio Perez (Red Bull) + 0.758
3 Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) +1.145
4. Lando Norris (McLaren) + 1.335
5. Daniel Ricciardo (RB) + 1.440
6. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) + 1.829
7. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin) + 2.108
8. Esteban Ocon (Alpine) + 2.140
9. Valtteri Bottas (Sauber) + 2.306
10. Oscar Piastri (McLaren) + 2.407
Pre-season testing day one
1. Max Verstappen (Red Bull) - 1:31.344
2. Lando Norris (McLaren) + 1.140
3. Carlos Sainz (Ferrari) + 1.240
4. Daniel Ricciardo (RB) +1.225
5. Pierre Gasly (Alpine) + 1.461
6. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin) + 1.663
7. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) + 1.903
8. Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin) + 2.041
9. Oscar Piastri (McLaren) + 2.314
10. Zhou Guanyu (Sauber) + 2.527