Will a mass shooting event affect me in 2024?
14
66
383
2025
23%
chance

This is a question I ask myself every time there is a mass shooting headline so I could use a fair prediction.

I live in the Seattle area and have two school age kids. I have a normally sized circle of friends.

I’ll define a mass shooting event as an event involving killing or injuring 2+ people using guns.

An event that occurs in my city or area I frequent would count as affecting me. An event that kills or injures family or friends regardless of where they are in the US would count as affecting me.

If you have other clarifying questions ask in the comments.

I will not bet on this market.

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