Will there be a well accepted formal definition for honesty in AI by 2027?
10
180Ṁ2092027
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Doesn't need total acceptance
If there are multiple similar competing definitions (e.g. similar to the current situation with differential privacy) I'll resolve yes
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
By 2027 will there be a well-accepted training procedure(s) for making AI honest?
15% chance
AI honesty #2: by 2027 will we have a reasonable outer alignment procedure for training honest AI?
25% chance
Will there be a well accepted formal definition of value alignment for AI by 2030?
25% chance
AI honesty #3: by 2027 will we have interpretability tools for detecting when an AI is being deceptive?
47% chance
Will AI be officially recognized as ‘AGI’ (Artificial General Intelligence) before the end of 2027?
11% chance
xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?
35% chance
AI honesty #1: by 2027 will we have AI that doesn't hallucinate random nonsense?
45% chance
AI honesty #4: by 2027, will we have AI that would tell us if it was planning on destroying us (conditional on that being true)?
22% chance
Will AI regulations that include mechanisms for uncovering AI deception be adopted in the U.S. before 2035?
82% chance
Will majority consensus in AI ethics shift toward explicitly prioritizing authentic subjective fulfillment by 2030s end?
38% chance