Which of these things will occur in Q1, 2025?
25
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3%
Will Russia use a Schedule I (as defined by the Chemical Weapons Convention) chemical weapon in Ukraine?
3%
Will the US government announce it is sending the THAAD weapon system to Ukraine?
3%
Will Elon Musk publicly confirm he is in a romantic relationship with another person?
1%
Will there be 12 users in the all-time profit leaderboard with ≥Ṁ1,000,000 profit? (https://manifold.markets/leaderboards; "All Topics")

Note:

  • Q1 2025 is from January 1, 2025 to March 31, 2025 23:59 UTC.

  • Resolution must come from events which occur during this period.

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Which of these things will occur in Q2, 2025?

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