Will the SF Medical Examiner's office report fewer deaths due to accidental drug overdose in 2025 than in 2024?
2
100Ṁ602026
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The SF Medical Examiners office publishes monthly & annual stats on drug overdoses in San Francisco. Here's the one for 2024, reporting 633 deaths.
This market resolves YES if a similar report for 2025 reports < 633 deaths, else resolves NO.
This market is aimed as a proxy for "Will SF get better?" - I'm interested in brainstorming, or trading on any other proxies for the same q, please reach out to me here or on Twitter if you have any ideas.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
How many lethal overdoses of Fentanyl will occur in the US in 2024?
Will the population of San Francisco increase from 2023 to 2024.
56% chance
Will there be 2,000 or more drug overdose deaths recorded in King County, WA, USA in 2028?
48% chance
Will there be fewer people executed (death penalty) in the US in 2025 than in 2024?
36% chance
Will San Francisco in 2025 be significantly safer than in 2022?
81% chance
Will US Border Patrol seize more fentanyl in 2025 than in 2024?
44% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the United States)
44% chance
Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2025 than in 2022
65% chance
Will fewer people die from Cancer (in the US) in 2024 compared to 2023?
77% chance
When will US deaths from fentanyl decline?