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MANIFOLD
Which country will be last place at the Eurovision 2026 finale?
66
แน€275แน€34k
resolved May 16
100%99.8%
United Kingdom ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
0.0%
Austria ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น
0.0%
Germany ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
0.0%
Poland ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ
0.0%
Belgium ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช
0.0%
Bulgaria ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ
0.0%
Italy ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
0.0%
Norway
0.0%
Sweden
0.0%
Lithuania ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น
0.0%Other

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bought แน€10 YES

Norway aren't even on the list?

@Tomoffer you should be able to add it as an answer

@vee thanks, possibly getting a bit carried away with the live betting ๐Ÿ˜… singing was not so great I thought

bought แน€10 NO

@Tomoffer Norway can rely on Scandinavian unity to save them from the last place, Austria has Germany, but with Ireland gone UK is a goner.

@LasseRasinen I think you're right... I'm quietly trying to back out of the huge NO position I built up on the UK ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ

@LasseRasinen idea is that Austria and Germany will give some points to UK for the german lyrics

@nickten Tried that last year, didn't fly.

filled a แน€100 NO at 25% order

@LasseRasinen ICH KOMME!!!

bought แน€300 YES

@LasseRasinen Nailed it

i don't mind losing on my UK NO bet, it would be funny enough to see them last again

@nickten he was super nervous imo :/

filled a แน€250 NO at 25% order

Wow I placed a lot of NO limit orders and @Yuna has eaten them all up... Should I be worried?? ๐Ÿ˜…

@Tomoffer (on the UK, that is)

@Tomoffer I think I have about half of my net worth on bets against Yuna in Eurovision markets. As Yuno seems to blindly follow Polymarket, these are actually bets against Polymarket, woops.

@vee BALLS

@vee I'm not as deep in the hole as you, but I have the ultimate hedge. Either I make an absolute killing or Finland wins ๐ŸŽ‰

bought แน€10 YES

@vee yuna's infinite liquidity ninja betting goes both ways; you can sell out of a position at the current market price with any liquidity as long as you do it a tiny bit at a time ๐Ÿ˜‚

bought แน€2 YES

I don't underestimate my countries ability to run with a completely trashy pop track. ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

@AlanTennant What do you mean? It's an okay electro song

@vee I've not heard it yet