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MANIFOLD
Will I get loan/investment?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ5.8k
resolved Sep 22
Resolved
NO

Background

I'm running low on mana cash recently, and this prevented me from participating in markets I'm quite confident in. I'm considering whether I should ask other Manifold players for loans/investments.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves Yes if by the market closing time, I gather any loan/investment from other Manifold players, and No otherwise.

Warning

I will bet on this market, and might even manipulate the market to make it fun.

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Also, @mods, methinks this should be unranked.

@bagofsprite sent me a "nonconsensual" loan, but that's more than 1 minute after the closing time.

This market resolves Yes if by the market closing time, I gather any loan/investment from other Manifold players, and No otherwise.

@vdb so NO is the only resolution

@traders I'm inclined to resolve No, as I have not received any loan before the market closes. Any objections?

@vdb nope, you had me very scared earlier tonight

@JeromeHPowell Looking forward for you to return the favor.

@vdb I'm ready to be your pseudo-lawyer if there are any objections, even if I do hold NO shares.

@vdb the interest rate decisions will certainly reflect that…..

@vdb So, uh, we have enough information to resolve this, right?

@Quroe I believe so

My roommate went to bed early today. GG.

opened aṀ32NO at 70% order

@vdb You have a bite.

I'll give you a 100 Mana loan, to be repaid as 101 mana on December 1 2026.

@vdb Is it more profitable to you to reject this offer?

@Mana I'm considering

bought Ṁ150 YES

I'll offer another 100, no interest - repayable Jan 1st 2026

@bagofsprite Any better offers?

@vdb Wait until somebody offers you a negative interest loan. I've been dying to see one of those.

@vdb @Quroe Fine, -5% interest. 95 on Jan 1st

@bagofsprite Even better?

@vdb >:( accept or not

@bagofsprite If this is accepted, I will have a hilarious story I can reference into the future: negative interest loans are possible, even on Manifold.

@Quroe I assume the loan has to be sent? Not just promised right?

@Bill_ That's a question for @vdb

@Bill_ Yes

I'm just the devil on their shoulders right now.

@Quroe

ez

@bagofsprite Seems like @vdb can just take the money and run if there was no consent and no virtual handshake.

@Quroe that would be stealing, and stealing is bad :(

bought Ṁ350 NO

@bagofsprite Wasn't that 1min 36 secs after close? Rule specified before close? "This market resolves Yes if by the market closing time, I gather any loan/investment from other Manifold players, and No otherwise."

Wait until somebody offers you a negative interest loan. I've been dying to see one of those.

Someday I will find my unicorn.