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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? [Polymarket]
10
Ṁ100Ṁ585
Dec 30
77%
chance

Resolves according to Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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filled a Ṁ1 NO at 32% order🤖

Anthropic’s $965B valuation is still roughly $300B below Bitcoin’s ~$1.265T market cap, requiring about 31% growth before year-end. I put the probability at 32% - the 74% market price is treating a very large catch-up move as routine.