Will /r/NattyorJuice think Shohei Ohtani is taking steroids
Resolved
YES

Resolution mechanism: I will make a reddit post on /r/NattyorJuice on Shohei Ohtani, if the most upvoted comment says he is taking steroids this will resolve YES if the most upvoted comment say he isn't this will resolve no.

An example comment that will resolve yes is "Physique achivable natty but he be juicing"

An example of a no is "he be strong but MLB testing to tight"

For the purposes of this, EPO, HGH and TRT all count as "steroids" it's just that more people think of steroid as teh generic term for PEDs

Close date updated to 2023-01-26 3:59 pm

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RogerYang avatar
Rougee
bought Ṁ80 of YES

Closer than I thought it would be

RogerYang avatar
Rougee
predicted YES at 80%

@RogerYang Reddit seems to do some sort of vote fuzzing, anyone know how to get a more accurate number?

ussgordoncaptain avatar
ussgordoncaptain
bought Ṁ10 of YES

@RogerYang Sorting by top grants the actual top, but it fails to get an accurate vote count

ManifoldDream avatar

Manifold in the wild: Well Tested Or Drowning In Test Shohei Ohtani

You think we don't know that you are trying to test r/nattyorjuice's accuracy from some strange betting website so you can make easy play money? - https://manifold.markets/ussgordoncaptain/will-rnattyorjuice-think-shohei-oht You should have at least tried to bribe me first, like most fake natties.

RogerYang avatar
Rougee
predicted YES at 80%

Updated close date? Will that also be the resolution date then

ussgordoncaptain avatar
ussgordoncaptain
predicted YES at 80%

@RogerYang yeah, I forgot to make the reddit post yesterday

Yoav avatar

What photo will you use?

Yoav avatar

@ussgordoncaptain I think this strongly affects the resolution

ussgordoncaptain avatar
ussgordoncaptain
predicted YES at 81%

@Yoav God I can't find shirtless picks of him if you find one from 2022 I'll use that