Professor Jiang Xueqin has the Predictive History channel on YouTube:

Geo-Strategy END: Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future)

I've extracted the most resolvable statements from this YouTube video:

If the West Is Collapsing, What Comes Next in 2026? - Prof. Jiang Xueqin

The questions will resolve YES if I see reports of this in relatively respectable media.

I know this is a fuzzy resolution, but I'll do my best.

1)

You know, there was this um shooting in America of this nuclear physicist and then there was this tragedy on Bonnie Beach in Sydney in Australia where 16 uh people died and Israel is is pinning the blame on Iran with absolutely no evidence. There are these MSAD officers who flown to Australia to participate in the investigation and we can suspect that um they will blame Iran in some way for what has happened.

2)

So the great nightmare for the Anglo-American Empire is an alliance between Russia, Iran and China. And of course India will also um come into this alliance eventually at some point because it benefits India and this creates the Eurasian trade continental system, right? And and Iran is the key because Iran's the pivot. It's the center of the world. Um all these trade alliances run through Iran.

3)

So Iran is a key um and that's why America is intent on regime change in Iran. Um America cannot afford for this alliance to take shape to manifest itself because then America would lose uh trade access in the Eurasian continent. China, Russia and Iran can just trade amongst themselves and then provide um energy and food and manufactured goods to uh the Middle East to Africa uh to Europe and so and then America is stuck with $30 trillion in debt and the America Ponzi scheme would collapse. So for this this is a life this this is a life and death struggle for America. So what it needs to do is

go into Iran and make sure this alliance cannot take shape. um it doesn't have to win the war, but it needs to create as much chaos as as possible. And that's why I think in 2026 2026, we'll see an escalation in rhetoric and conflict between America and Iran with with Israel as of course as a pit dog for the American Empire.

• Update 2026-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is considering canceling this market if another related market performs better. The alternative market focuses solely on whether India will join Russia, China, and Iran in an alliance (which corresponds to statement #2 from this market's original description).

• Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is considering canceling this market if a separate market about the third question (Iran regime change) gets more reactions. The separate market is: "If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?"