This will resolve YES if non-niche media report on Iran involvement in this terrorist attack. I know this is fuzzy.
Where this is from:
Professor Jiang Xueqin has the Predictive History channel on YouTube:
Geo-Strategy END: Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future)
I've extracted one statement from this YouTube video:
If the West Is Collapsing, What Comes Next in 2026? - Prof. Jiang Xueqin
The questions will resolve YES if I see reports of this in relatively respectable media.
I know this is a fuzzy resolution, but I'll do my best.
>>> You know, there was this um shooting in America of this nuclear physicist and then there was this tragedy on Bonnie Beach in Sydney in Australia where 16 uh people died and Israel is is pinning the blame on Iran with absolutely no evidence. There are these Mossad officers who flown to Australia to participate in the investigation and we can suspect that um they will blame Iran in some way for what has happened.
There's this in the media:
... Suspicion falls on Iran for Bondi Beach terror
Israeli intelligence identifies Tehran as prime suspect in Sydney Hanukkah massacre
The Sydney terror attack may have been carried out by an Iranian-backed foreign terror cell, Israeli authorities believe.
Officials cited Iran as a primary suspect, and said possible links to groups including Hezbollah, Hamas and Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba were also being investigated, according to Israeli media reports.
Australian officials have not publicly confirmed any foreign involvement in the atrocity. ...
... "Today it’s ISIS. Tomorrow it’s Iran," one senior Israeli intelligence official said, describing a threat environment in which multiple extremist actors are operating in parallel and often overlapping arenas. ...
... Simultaneously, the Mossad revealed in October that Tehran was responsible for major thwarted attack attempts in 2024-2025 in Australia, Greece, and Germany.
Since October 7, Iran has significantly expanded its efforts to strike Israeli and Jewish targets worldwide. Through intensive Mossad activity together with intelligence and security agencies in Israel and abroad, dozens of attack attempts that Iran had advanced have been thwarted. These prevention operations saved many lives and enabled investigative and legal action against those involved in terror. ...
... Australia is said to be investigating whether the Sydney attack, which killed at least 15 and injured more than 40, was plotted by Iran. Israel’s Mossad notified Australian intelligence about a month ago that Iranian-backed terrorists in the country planned to carry out attacks on Jewish targets, according to Hebrew media reports. ...
... Unraveling Tehran’s Alleged Network
Israeli intelligence sources have long cautioned against Tehran’s global tactics, underscoring a combination of smuggling networks and covert social media operations aimed at inciting unrest. The Bondi Beach incident, which claimed the lives of sixteen individuals, potentially exemplifies these dangers. Iranian agents are believed to have manipulated digital platforms, exacerbating tensions and recruiting proxy operatives to execute violent acts against Jewish communities abroad. ...