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MANIFOLD
How will I rate del Campo & Vilenkin 1989? (+free lottery)
6
Ṁ10kṀ262
resolved Oct 8
Resolved as
68%

Resolution

This market will resolve to x%. Number x will be my personal rating of the following literature on a 0-100 scale after studying it in more detail.

Del Campo & Vilenkin (1989) “Tunneling wavefunction for an anisotropic universe”

Free Lottery

After the market closes, I will generate a random number M among 1 to 100 using this algorithm. The Mth unique trader of this market wins 300 mana from the lottery prize pool, if such a trader exists. Otherwise, the lottery falls through till next time.

For free play, make a trade with 1 mana and sell it. Your trade will be recorded and you will become a unique trader.

Past winners

@PaperBoy 100Ṁ

@hogshedges 100Ṁ

@Pancarre 300Ṁ

@wolf 400Ṁ

@Chumchulum 200Ṁ

@KarlWang 4000Ṁ

@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ

@2ndPairofBoots 300Ṁ

@jbm 300Ṁ

@AritificialJudgement 300Ṁ

@Primer 300Ṁ

@Brierbr 300Ṁ

@DaleKirkwood 300Ṁ

@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ (second time winner)

@Chimpy 300Ṁ

@Chimpy 300Ṁ (second time winner)

@dawxgBot 300Ṁ

@Handmadefilms 300Ṁ

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ70
2Ṁ16
3Ṁ0
4Ṁ0
5Ṁ0
Sort by:

Soundness: 70

Ingenuity: 60

Presentation: 70

Significance: 70

Overall (average): 67.5

--- RESOLUTION PROOF ---

Market        : /ttoe/how-will-i-rate-del-campo-vilenkin

Draw Source   : closeTime (1789830480000 ms)

Draw Time     : 2026-09-19 15:08:00 UTC (2026-09-19 11:08:00 EDT ET)

Target Range  : 1 to 100

NIST API Link : https://beacon.nist.gov/beacon/2.0/pulse/time/1789830480000

Pulse Index   : 1948382

Pulse Time    : 2026-09-19T15:08:00.000Z

Output Hex    : BB74041FDB8DB293DBA6B48C09F379BC86EADD7503D97703DEA1DFA53338E79751CCF92440041F7A953B2CC2647678185F813FB729B2358A67365DA4B264B18F

Formula       : (Decimal_Value % 100) + 1

Decimal_Value : 9817720076854532053689511750026218647819168489456014599418202042561100409578136670098858913149495293331463957536192576361365944131458400767976602719269263

FINAL RESULT  : 64

Verify        : open the NIST API Link above,

               compute int(outputValue, 16) % 100 + 1

No 64th unique trader: only 6 unique bettor(s) on this market.