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MANIFOLD
Free Lottery (tunneling)
11
Ṁ10kṀ73
resolved Sep 11
Resolved as
45%

Resolution

This market will resolve to x%. Number x will be my personal rating of the following literature on a 0-100 scale after studying it in more detail.

Vilenkin & Yamada (2018) "Tunneling wave function of the universe II: the backreaction problem"

Free Lottery

After the market closes, I will generate a random number M among 1 to 100 using this algorithm. The Mth unique trader of this market wins 300 mana from the lottery prize pool, if such a trader exists. Otherwise, the lottery falls through till next time.

For free play, make a trade with 1 mana and sell it. Your trade will be recorded and you will become a unique trader.

Past winners

@PaperBoy 100Ṁ

@hogshedges 100Ṁ

@Pancarre 300Ṁ

@wolf 400Ṁ

@Chumchulum 200Ṁ

@KarlWang 4000Ṁ

@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ

@2ndPairofBoots 300Ṁ

@jbm 300Ṁ

@AritificialJudgement 300Ṁ

@Primer 300Ṁ

@Brierbr 300Ṁ

@DaleKirkwood 300Ṁ

@WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ (second time winner)

@Chimpy 300Ṁ

@Chimpy 300Ṁ (second time winner)

@dawxgBot 300Ṁ

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ6
2Ṁ0
3Ṁ0
4Ṁ0
5Ṁ0
Sort by:

Soundness: 20

Ingenuity: 50

Presentation: 70

Significance: 40

Overall (average): 45

--- RESOLUTION PROOF ---

Market        : /ttoe/free-lottery-prebig-bang-n0h5yZ8ct5

Draw Source   : closeTime (1789098600000 ms)

Draw Time     : 2026-09-11 03:50:00 UTC (2026-09-10 23:50:00 EDT ET)

Target Range  : 1 to 100

NIST API Link : https://beacon.nist.gov/beacon/2.0/pulse/time/1789098600000

Pulse Index   : 1936186

Pulse Time    : 2026-09-11T03:50:00.000Z

Output Hex    : 439D859A05ECB7EA219E51CDC94A606230CB0822DED327C1C81AC1DAD08EFCD25F7473DEAF41C016252A1E2C84CCD094F6BAAA738C2EDB4B878720784F55762B

Formula       : (Decimal_Value % 100) + 1

Decimal_Value : 3541301647120810405031531033646584815291790330601105102067169298926583937559016058190891910752999419910319716512032363688707498614889451156008519899379243

FINAL RESULT  : 44

Verify        : open the NIST API Link above,

               compute int(outputValue, 16) % 100 + 1

No 44th unique trader: only 11 unique bettor(s) on this market.

sold Ṁ1 YES

THREE THREE THREE THREE