Will Sam Altman retaliate and get rid of Ilya by the end of 2024?
14
127
321
2025
30%
chance

This will resolve to YES if

- Ilya gets ousted or managed out

- This will also be counted as yes if he got removed and returned later

This will resolve to NO:

- Ilya didn't leave by the end of 2024 or voluntarily decided to leave

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Sam Altman says he is unsure if Ilya Sutskever is still working at OpenAI

What if we aren’t given an official reason for why he left? Also, most possible reasons involve him being strongly incentivized to do so but still doing it by personal choice (voluntarily). How would the market resolve if that happened?

@TheBayesian if there wasn't enough info on why he left, then this will resolve to NO