Will Sam Altman retaliate and get rid of Ilya by the end of 2024?
321
resolved May 15
Resolved
NO

This will resolve to YES if

- Ilya gets ousted or managed out

- This will also be counted as yes if he got removed and returned later

This will resolve to NO:

- Ilya didn't leave by the end of 2024 or voluntarily decided to leave

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Although i personal think it was a retaliation, based on Ilya tweet, he explicitly stated it was voluntary thus resolves to NO.

If I had to resolve this to YES, it would be more of an opinionated outcome that contradict the resolution criteria

bought Ṁ2,500 NO

@trixwit profile says they are temporarily inactive - all reports from sam, greg, and ilya himself are that this is voluntary. I'm asking another mod to resolve no.

@shankypanky I still lurk from time to time

bought Ṁ100 YES

Why so low this is obviously exactly what happened

sold Ṁ39 NO

I mean, who knows what happend?

bought Ṁ150 NO

Sam Altman says he is unsure if Ilya Sutskever is still working at OpenAI

What if we aren’t given an official reason for why he left? Also, most possible reasons involve him being strongly incentivized to do so but still doing it by personal choice (voluntarily). How would the market resolve if that happened?

@TheBayesian if there wasn't enough info on why he left, then this will resolve to NO

@trixwit Resolves NO then :p

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