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MANIFOLD
MAGA republicans don’t care about the Epstein list
13
Ṁ1kṀ1.6k
resolved Nov 3
100%45%
True
55%
False

  • Update 2025-07-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated the resolution will consider the stance of Donald Trump in contrast to the claims of MAGA influencers regarding the Epstein list.

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How was this resolved?

bought Ṁ50 YES

I predict that by July 22nd the vast majority of MAGA influencers will still support Trump, as will the vast majority of rank and file conservative Republicans.

Despite Trump not releasing any such list.

@PhilosophyBear that doesn't mean people still wouldnt care

bought Ṁ500 NO

How will this be resolved? Seems obviously false

@trevortaylor Yeah, can we get some resolution criteria? Do we have a standard or source of truth to go by? Or is this being judged by your personal vibe check?

@Quroe trump doesn’t want people to care what yet MAGA influencers claim to care

@trevortaylor I see. So us traders are trying to figure out how this market will play out given how future events develop.

Will it resolve 100% to only one market answer? Or can this resolve partially to one answer (also known as PROB)?

Under what circumstances would this resolve 100% to "True"? Under what circumstances would this resolve 100% to "False"?

Are there any specific news sources you'd like to reference as a standard or source of truth for resolution?

@trevortaylor Alternatively, are you trying to poll us traders on what we all subjectively think on this subject?

If so, you may find the "poll" market type to be better suited for that instead of any of the trading type markets that ask us to make a wager. 😊