Will Paul Christiano shake the US president's hand by 2027
Plus
28
Ṁ24912027
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be in relation to Paul's role in AI Safety, and must be a standing US president
Resolves YES on any conclusive evidence that this has happened
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Paul Christiano named head of US AI Safety Institute
https://www.businessinsider.com/the-president-of-the-united-states-shakes-about-46000-hands-a-year-2011-6 Base rates are pretty high
For what it's worth, Arc evals and the alignment problem are on Obama's radar 👀
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