Will construction of high-speed rail in Texas begin before 2030?
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2030
50%
chance

Resolves YES if Texas Central, the State of Texas, or any other organization, begins physical railway construction for any high-speed rail line in the state of Texas by the end of 2029.

To qualify as high-speed, newly built track must have a maximum planned operating speed of at least 155 mph. Alternatively, for construction on existing right-of-way, the track must have a maximum planned operating speed of at least 124 mph.

This market is only dependent on whether construction physically begins. A “groundbreaking ceremony” or similar is sufficient for resolution, otherwise physical evidence of groundwork is required. This market is not considering whether any designated segment is completed nor whether passenger service has begun.

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News update! TxDOT just got two federal grants to study improving the Amtrak service between Houston and San Antonio, and study passenger rail between Houston and Dallas.

See more here.

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Banner is interesting, I think