Will construction of high-speed rail in Texas begin before 2030?
6
22
258
2030
60%
chance

Resolves YES if Texas Central (or any other organization) begins physical railway construction for any high-speed rail line in the state of Texas by the end of 2029.

To qualify as high-speed, newly built track must have a maximum planned operating speed of at least 155 mph. Alternatively, for construction on existing right-of-way, the track must have a maximum planned operating speed of at least 124 mph.

This market is only dependent on whether construction physically begins, not whether any segment is completed nor whether passenger service has begun.

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Banner is interesting, I think