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When will the first hurricane of 2024 make landfall in the US?
Basic
25
Ṁ14kresolved Jul 8
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%91%
July
0.7%
June
4%
August
1.2%
September
0.8%
October
0.8%
November
0.8%
December
0.7%
Not during 2024
Atlantic or Pacific. Must be hurricane strength, centered over US land.
(Referring to the first hurricane to make landfall, NOT necessarily the first hurricane to form in either ocean)
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Hurricane Beryl is currently on track to hit TX directly as a cat 1 hurricane
TROPICAL STORM BERYL (noaa.gov)
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FS2bA3zlxcw.png?alt=media&token=60f55a59-e7a0-445f-8759-5875571cab9e)
@SaviorofPlant I’ll count it. “US land” should mean any territory under US jurisdiction. The path of the hurricane must still make landfall, passing near an island won’t count.
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