Will Jan Leike be charged with violating his NDA for whistleblowing in the next 2 years?
Plus
22
Ṁ9162026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://x.com/janleike/status/1790603862132596961
The resolution criteria for yes are: he has signed an NDA, which he violates, for the stated reason of whistleblowing, in the next 5 years.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a journalist in the U.S. face imprisonment or fines due to their professional activities before 2029?
54% chance
Will the Supreme Court leaker's identity be known by 2030?
35% chance
Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
13% chance
Will I receive significant evidence that Paul Christiano is not legally bound by a mutual OpenAI NDA before EOY2024
8% chance
Will Howie Lempel (CEO at 80,000 Hours) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
3% chance
Will anyone violate an NDA in order to make a profit on Manifold by 2025?
2% chance
By EOY 2024, will any Boeing whistleblower publicly state they are concerned for their life ?
4% chance
Will a third Boeing whistleblower die by the end of 2024?
1% chance
By EOY 2024, will it be publicly known that any Boeing whistleblower has been denied witness protection ?
1% chance
By EOY 2024, will it be publicly known that any Boeing whistleblower has requested witness protection ?
3% chance